Busıness Decısıon Models Deneme Sınavı Sorusu #1367074

Question 3

E1, E2, E3 show the events and A1, A2, A3 show the alternatives. The profit values of each event are given in the table above. Which is the most appropriate decision according to the Equally Likely Method?


A1 with 3.33

A2 with 5.33

A2 with 6.33

A3 with 3.67

A3 with 5.67


Yanıt Açıklaması:

The correct answer is E as shown below:

The probability of occurrence of each event is 1/3.

A1 = 4*(1/3)+7*(1/3)+5*(1/3) = 5.33

A2 = 5*(1/3)+3*(1/3)+8*(1/3) = 5.33

A3 = 1*(1/3)+9*(1/3)+7*(1/3) = 5.67

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