FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Dersi Decision Making Processes and Foreign Policy soru detayı:

PAYLAŞ:

SORU:

Explain Prisoner’s Dilemma in decision making? 


CEVAP:

In this scenario, two suspects are arrested on suspicion of carrying out a serious crime. The suspects are interrogated separately. They each have one choice. They can accept a plea bargain deal offered by the police. is deal would mean testifying against the other suspect. Or they can refuse the deal and stay loyal to their partner. Staying loyal to the partnermight be costly because there is no guarantee the partner will reciprocate.

Neither suspect knows what the other is doing. They cannot communicate before making their decision. Because the players do not know what the other is doing, they will choose the best outcome regardless of what the other player does. The result is that each will choose to take the plea bargain. is is known as minimax behaviour. Each player is acting to avoid the worst outcome that could result from the other player’s actions.

Because each takes the deal, the police do not need to other a generous deal to either. If the players could have communicated, they could have agreed not to take the deal, and both would have done better because there would have been no testimony to link either to any serious crime.